O 010600Z AUG
85
FROM SACEUR
TO NORTHAG
CENTAG
INFO
AFCENT
AFNORTH
AFSOUTH
NATO S E C
R E T
SIC IAA
INTELLIGENCE SUMMARY FOR PERIOD 01 AUG - 06 AUG
85
1. GSFG APPEARS TO BE MAINTAINING A
HIGH LEVEL OF READINESS, SINCE THE CONCLUSION OF THE SUMMER EXERCISE PERIOD.
LITTLE ACTIVITY HAS BEEN OBSERVED IN THE PERMANENT AND TEMPORARY RESTRICTED
AREAS. THE MILITARY MISSIONS HAVE REPORTED AN INCREASED POLICE PRESENCE AND
ACTIVE FOLLOWING OF THEIR PATROLS. A LETTER OF COMPLAINT HAS BEEN PASSED TO
GSFG.
2. IT IS ASSESSED THAT GSFG
CONTINUE TO INLOAD STOCKS, BUT IT IS OUR ASSESSMENT THAT THIS WILL NOT BE
COMPLETE BEFORE 10 AUG 85. OUR ASSESSMENT IS BASED ON THE LEVEL OF CONSUMPTION
DURING THE FINAL EXERCISE ACTIVITIES.
3.
A. IT REMAINS OUR ASSESSMENT THAT 2 GTA WILL BE USED AGAINST THE NORTHERN REGION
OF NORTHAG/BALTAP TO SEIZE SCHLESWIG HOLSTEIN AND TO SWEEP INTO THE NETHERLANDS
POSSSIBLE POSING A THREAT TO NATO REAR AREAS.
B. 3 SA WILL BE USED AGAINST THE MAIN COMBAT AREA OF
NORTHAG. THE LACK OF MOTOR RIFLE FORMATIONS IN THIS UNIT WOULD INDICATE THAT IT
IS UNLIKELY THAT THIS FORMATION WILL BE USED TO INVEST ANY OF THE LARGE
CONURBATIONS IN THE AREA.
C. 8 GTA IS
ARRAYED AGAINST CENTAG AND IT IS EXPECTED THAT THIS FORMATION WILL BE DIRECTED
AGAINST FRANKFURT.
D. 20 GA REMAINS IN
GSFG RESERVE AND IT IS ASSESSED THAT THIS FORMATION WOULD BE DEPLOYED SOME 24
HOURS AFTER THE REST OF GSFG. THIS FORMATION HAS 3 MOTOR RIFLE DIVISIONS AND IT
IS ASSESSED THAT THIS FORMATION WOULD BE EMPLOYED AGAINST NORTHAG, PROVIDING 2
GTA AND 3 SA MAKE SUFFICIENT PROGRESS.
4.
16 AIR ARMY IS CONDUCTING REDUCED SORTIES WHICH INDICATE A LEVEL OF MAINTENANCE
PRIOR TO CONDUCTING SUSTAINED OPERATIONS.
5. OUR OBSERVATION OF SPECIAL WEAPONS STORAGE FACILITIES
DOES NOT REVEAL ANY FORWARD STORAGE OF CHEMICAL OR NUCLEAR
MUNITIONS
6. IT REMAINS THE ASSESSMENT
THAT THE WP FORCES ARE NOT CAPABLE OF LAUNCHING AN ATTACK DIRECT FROM BARRACKS
AND COMBAT INDICATORS REMAIN THAT WE WILL RECEIVE 48 HOURS WARNING OF POSSIBLE
OPERATIONS AGAINST US.
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